Country of origin growth modelling for imported salted & dried (Klippfisk) products to Brazil

Abstract

In this paper, we measure demand growth characteristics for the imported salted & dried fish (klippfisk) market in Brazil. Norway has dominated this market but more recently, Portugal has expanded production of salted & dried fish. Codfish has traditionally been the prime input used in the salted & dried process but a variety of other whitefish (Pollock, Ling, Saithe, Tusk) are used for this product. Our interest here is twofold; measuring country of origin growth effects comparing Norwegian to Portuguese salted & dried codfish products and, measuring growth effects for salted & dried fish based on alternative primary fish inputs used in processing. For the former we anticipate quality differences based on country of origin. For the latter, the choice of primary fish input impacts both cost of processing and quality of final product. The model is used to simulate a number of price scenarios.