Abstract
In order to solve the accuracy of EV charging load prediction, the residual life reduction and the exact value of EV ownership caused by battery aging are taken into consideration. The charging load curve of the EV is simulated based on the Monte Carlo simulation method. Finally, based on the actual data of a certain region, the charging load of electric vehicles within a day is obtained. The case analysis shows that the proposed charging load prediction model of electric vehicles has high accuracy, which also shows that the large-scale grid connection of electric vehicles will bring new challenges to the power system. This method provides data support for the subsequent formulation of electric vehicle charging strategy and load side peak shifting and valley filling.
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