Cost-effectiveness of tyrosine kinase inhibition in first-line treatment of patients with EGFR-mutated advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

Abstract

e20504 Background: Patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harbouring an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation have improved survival with tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatments, but the economic efficiency of this application is unclear, especially in limited health resource settings. To inform policy makers about the value of these medications, we developed a Markov model to compare the cost-effectiveness of these strategies. Methods: A Markov model was developed to compare the cost-effectiveness of chemotherapy, gefitinib, erlotinib, afatinib and osimertinib treatments from a public payers’ perspective in the U.S and China. Health states consisted of progression-free survival, progressive disease, and death. Model transition, adverse event probabilities, disease progression, and death were obtained from randomized clinical trials and network meta-analysis. Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) over a 10-year lifetime horizon were calculated. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed by multiple potentially modifiable parameters. Results: The tyrosine kinase inhibitors were more cost-effective than chemotherapy treatment in both the U.S and China. In the U.S, compared with erlotinib, afatinib had an ICER of $241,420/QALY while osimertinib had an ICER of $351,315/QALY. In China, the incremental utility for osimertinib versus gefitinib was 0.68QALYs, and the ICER was $25,622/QALY. The probability sensitivity analyses also illustrated that the erlotinib was the optimal treatment at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000/QALY in the U.S and osimertinib was the most cost-effective treatment at a WTP of $26,508/QALY in China. Conclusions: Based on our current analysis, erlotinib appears to be the preferred first-line treatment for advanced EGFR mutation-positive NSCLC patients in the US at a WTP of $150,000/QALY. However, because of the price reduction and more health benefits, osimertinib was considered to be most cost-effective at a WTP of $26,508/QALY in China.