Abstract

The present study analyzes the production costs and the expectations of return on investment and the risks associated with the cultivation of grapes comparing two driving systems, cultivated in the region of the North Plateau of Santa Catarina, the espalier system with an approximate production of 800 boxes of 10 kg per hectare of Niagara Branca or Niagara Rosada grapes, and the manger system with an approximate production of 2000 boxes of 10 kg per hectare of the same type of grape. Both with five-year production cycles. This is an applied research in terms of its nature, descriptive in terms of its objective and a case study in terms of the strategy for approaching the problem. The information and data collected through documental research and semi-structured interviews were systematized in a cash flow projected in the respective terms, from an AMR of 6% pa. The Multi-Index Methodology was used to analyze the return and risks involved. From the results found, Monte Carlo simulation was used, through the Crystal Ball software, which point out that the average NPV of the 700m³/ st / ha option for 14 years exceeds the 420 m³ / st / option by R$16,869.00. for 7 years, the same occurring with IRR/average at 4.76% and ROIA/average at 3.46%. Although the results of the two varieties studied can be considered satisfactory, showing that the choice of one option over the other will depend on the opportunity presented in relation to reapplication of the gain, the values found show that the grape cultivation strategy by the manger driving presents a higher return to the investor.

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