Cost-Effectiveness of Utilization of Hepatitis B Virus-Positive Liver Donors for HBV-Negative Transplant Recipients

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BackgroundUtilization of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected donors represents an opportunity to expand the liver transplantation (LT) donor pool. However, benefits of accepting HBV-positive donors for HBV-negative candidates, potentially expanding the donor pool resulting in earlier transplantation, must be balanced with costs of lifelong antiviral therapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate cost-effectiveness of this strategy. MethodsWe developed a Markov model with two strategies, transplant with (1) a HBV-positive donor versus and (2) a HBV-negative donor for a HBV-negative LT candidate. A healthcare system perspective was utilized, effectiveness measured in quality-adjusted life-years, and costs in 2018 USD. ResultsIn the base-case, the HBV-positive donor strategy is more effective (gain of 0.46 QALYs), but $26,159 more expensive, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $57,389/QALY. However, increasing the candidate’s Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score resulted in increasing cost-effectiveness, ICER of $69,507/QALY (MELD 6–10) to $47,385/QALY (MELD > 30). Results were most sensitive to antiviral cost and cost after first year of LT. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the HBV-positive strategy was always more effective but more expensive, with average ICER of $64,883/QALY. This strategy was highly cost-effective (ICER < $50,000/QALY) 21% of the time and cost < $100/000/QALY 94% of the time. ConclusionsConsideration of these donors must be individualized to each candidate’s severity of liver disease, associated costs, and personal preferences that impact quality of life. Expansion of the donor pool to include HBV-positive donors for appropriate recipients may be a cost-effective policy and may provide significant benefit for individual patients.