Cost Effectiveness of an Electrocardiographic Deep Learning Algorithm to Detect Asymptomatic Left Ventricular Dysfunction

Abstract

ObjectiveTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of an artificial intelligence electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) algorithm under various clinical and cost scenarios when used for universal screening at age 65. Patients and MethodsWe used decision analytic modeling to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of the use of AI-ECG to screen for asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (ALVD) once at age 65 compared with no screening. This screening consisted of an initial screening decision tree and subsequent construction of a Markov model. One-way sensitivity analysis on various disease and cost parameters to evaluate cost-effectiveness at both $50,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and $100,000 per QALY willingness-to-pay threshold. ResultsWe found that for universal screening at age 65, the novel AI-ECG algorithm would cost $43,351 per QALY gained, test performance, disease characteristics, and testing cost parameters significantly affect cost-effectiveness, and screening at ages 55 and 75 would cost $48,649 and $52,072 per QALY gained, respectively. Overall, under most of the clinical scenarios modeled, coupled with its robust test performance in both testing and validation cohorts, screening with the novel AI-ECG algorithm appears to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000. ConclusionUniversal screening for ALVD with the novel AI-ECG appears to be cost-effective under most clinical scenarios with a cost of <$50,000 per QALY. Cost-effectiveness is particularly sensitive to both the probability of disease progression and the cost of screening and downstream testing. To improve cost-effectiveness modeling, further study of the natural progression and treatment of ALVD and external validation of AI-ECG should be undertaken.