Abstract

The main factors associated with coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) mortality are age, comorbidities, pattern of inflammatory response, and SARS-CoV-2 lineage involved in infection. However, the clinical course of the disease is extremely heterogeneous, and reliable biomarkers predicting adverse prognosis are lacking. Our aim was to elucidate the prognostic role of a novel marker of coronary artery disease inflammation, peri-coronary adipose tissue attenuation (PCAT), available from high-resolution chest computed tomography (HRCT) in COVID-19 patients with severe disease requiring hospitalization. Two distinct groups of patients were admitted to Parma University Hospital in Italy with COVID-19 in March 2020 and March 2021 (first- and third-wave peaks of the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy, with the prevalence of wild-type and B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 lineage, respectively) were retrospectively enrolled. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, HRCT data, and coronary artery HRCT features (coronary calcium score and PCAT attenuation) were collected to show which variables were associated with mortality. Among the 769 patients enrolled, 555 (72%) were discharged alive, and 214 (28%) died. In multivariable logistic regression analysis age (p< 0.001), number of chronic illnesses (p< 0.001), smoking habit (p= 0.006), P/F ratio (p= 0.001), platelet count (p= 0.002), blood creatinine (p< 0.001), non-invasive mechanical ventilation (p< 0.001), HRCT visual score (p< 0.001), and PCAT (p <0.001), but not the calcium score, were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Coronary inflammation, measured with PCAT on non-triggered HRCT, appeared to be independently associated with higher mortality in patients with severe COVID-19, while the pre-existent coronary atherosclerotic burden was not associated with adverse outcomes after adjustment for covariates. The current study demonstrates that a relatively simple measurement, peri-coronary adipose tissue attenuation (PCAT), available ex-post from standard high-resolution computed tomography, is strongly and independently associated with in-hospital mortality. • Coronary inflammation can be measured by the attenuation of peri-coronary adipose tissue (PCAT) on high-resolution CT (HRCT) without contrast media. • PCAT is strongly and independently associated with in-hospital mortality in SARS-CoV-2 patients. • PCAT might be considered an independent prognostic marker in COVID-19 patients if confirmed in other studies.

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