Abstract
BackgroundThere is increasing interest in predicting heart failure (HF), a major cause of morbidity and mortality with a significant financial burden. The role of coronary artery calcium (CAC), an accessible and inexpensive test, in predicting long-term HF mortality amongst asymptomatic adults remains unknown. We aim to determine if CAC burden is associated with HF-related mortality in the CAC Consortium. Methods and ResultsThe study included 66,636 primary prevention patients from the CAC Consortium. Multivariable competing risks regression was used to assess the association between CAC and HF-related mortality adjusting for demographics and traditional risk factors. The mean age was 54.4 years, 67% male, 89% white, and 55% had CAC >0. 260 HF-related mortality events were observed during a median follow up of 12.5 years, 75.3% occurred among those with a baseline CAC score >100. Compared with CAC = 0, there was a stepwise higher risk (P < 0.005) of HF mortality for CAC 1-100 (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.3-3.99), 100-400 (SHR: 3.68; 95% CI 2.1-6.43), and >400 (SHR: 7.05; 95% CI 4.05-12.29). This increasing risk of HF mortality across higher CAC scores persisted across age groups, sex, and in the intermediate and high-risk groups as calculated by the pooled cohort (PCE) and PREVENT equations. ConclusionsHigher CAC is associated with increasing incidence of long-term HF-related mortality in the primary prevention population, particularly intermediate and high-risk patients. Early preventive approaches in patients with high CAC must focus on preventing heart failure and ASCVD with lifestyle changes and medications.
Published Version
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