Abstract

To mitigate climate change, the governments of various countries have formulated and implemented corresponding low-carbon emission reduction policies. Meanwhile, consumers’ awareness of the necessity of environmental protection is gradually improving, and more consumers pay attention to the environmental attributes of products, which all encourages enterprises to have great power to implement low carbon technology. As rational decision makers, members tend to show the characteristics of risk aversion. How to meet the needs of consumers and reduce their own risks has become a key point of low-carbon supply chain management. Considering carbon quota policy, in this paper, the optimal pricing decision-making process of a supply chain system is discussed under risk-neutral and risk-avoidance decision-making scenarios by game theory, and a cost-sharing contract is used to coordinate the decision-making process of a supply chain system. By analyzing the influence of the risk aversion coefficient on the optimal strategies of participants, we find that when the manufacturer has the risk aversion characteristic, the risk aversion coefficient will further reduce the carbon emission rate, the wholesale price of the product and the manufacturer’s profit but increase the product order quantity and the retailer’s profit. In addition, if consumers have a high preference for low-carbon products, the manufacturer’s risk-aversion coefficient will lead to a lower selling price than in the centralized decision-making situation, and the profit of the supply chain system will also be further reduced. When the cost-sharing contract is adopted for coordination, the Pareto improvement of supply chain members’ profits can be achieved when the parameters of the cost-sharing contract are appropriate, regardless of the manufacturer’s risk-neutral decision or risk-aversion decision.

Highlights

  • Existing studies have shown that global warming is directly related to carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions [1]

  • We investigate the effects of risk aversion on equilibrium decision making and participant profit and implement a system Pareto improvement through a cost-sharing contract

  • The mean-variance method and Stackelberg game theory are used to study the decision-making problem of a low-carbon supply chain dominated by risk-averse manufacturers under a carbon quota policy

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Summary

Introduction

Existing studies have shown that global warming is directly related to carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions [1]. There is little literature on the impact of carbon quotas and risk aversion on the optimal price and coordination strategies of participants in a low-carbon supply chain. (1) How does risk aversion affect the pricing and profit of a low-carbon supply chain under carbon quota regulations? (2) What is the impact of consumers’ preference for low-carbon products and manufacturers’ risk aversion on supply chain decision-making? Compared with the existing literature, this paper combines carbon quota policy and consumers’ low-carbon preference into the decision-making process of low-carbon supply chain and explores the decisionmaking problem of manufacturers’ risk-averse behavior due to the investment in emission reduction technologies.

Literature Review
Research on Supply Chain Decision-Making under Carbon Policy
Research on Low-Carbon Supply Chain Decision-Making Considering Risk Aversion
Research on Contract Coordination of Low-Carbon Supply Chain
Symbol Description and Model Assumptions
Centralized Decision Model
Decentralized Decision Model When the Manufacturer Is Risk Neutral
Decentralized Decision Model in Manufacturer Risk Avoidance
Risk-Neutral Coordination Decision-Making Process of Manufacturers
Manufacturers’ Risk Avoidance Coordination Decision-Making Process
Numerical Analysis
Results Analysis
Impact of Manufacturers’ Risk Aversion on Pricing Decisions
Relationship
Impact of Manufacturers’ Risk Aversion on Supply Chain Profits
Influence of the Cost-Sharing
Conclusions
Full Text
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