Abstract
This paper presents the energy demand projection for Malawi considering implementation of two energy development strategies. The strategies are Malawi Biomass Energy Strategy (BEST) and Malawi electricity investment plan. Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) software was used as the simulation tool. Environmental effects of the energy sector towards global warming by the energy sector as a result of implementing the strategies have been investigated. Three scenarios were developed, the first one to reflect on business as usual, the second one depicting implementation of Malawi BEST and the third one depicting implementation of the Malawi Electricity Investment Plan. A fourth scenario was developed to depict implementation of both strategies. 2008 was used as the base year with energy mix of consisting of biomass consumption decrease in all the scenarios due to better efficiency in the utilization of biomass and change in life style by people as a direct response to available energy alternatives. Implementing both the Malawi BEST and Malawi Electricity Investment Plan for energy sector development would be better in terms of both energy supply and global warming effects.
Highlights
Energy demand projection is an important tool in having a foresight of the direction that the energy sector is headed depending on the prevailing circumstances
This paper presents the energy demand projection for Malawi considering implementation of two energy development strategies
A fourth scenario was developed to depict implementation of both strategies. 2008 was used as the base year with energy mix of consisting of biomass consumption decrease in all the scenarios due to better efficiency in the utilization of biomass and change in life style by people as a direct response to available energy alternatives. Implementing both the Malawi Biomass Energy Strategy (BEST) and Malawi Electricity Investment Plan for energy sector development would be better in terms of both energy supply and global warming effects
Summary
Energy demand projection is an important tool in having a foresight of the direction that the energy sector is headed depending on the prevailing circumstances. A number of government’s policies such as the Malawi Poverty Reduction Strategy (MPRS), the Malawi Growth and Development Strategy (MGDS) and Vision 2020 have energy generation and supply as a key focus area. 2008 was chosen as the base year for simulations because data was available on energy demand by the four sub-sectors of household, industry, service and transport and the energy mix by the various energy supply sources. Biomass energy in Malawi is currently not sustainable which has resulted in wood resource base diminishing mainly because woodlands and trees in agricultural areas are being cleared up to start new farming land. Coal is used in various industries for heating but is currently not generally used as a domestic energy supply which means that its use in households is negligible.
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