Abstract

AbstractRural communities in the drylands of sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) derive their livelihoods primarily from their natural resource base. Unprecedented changes in these environments over the past few decades are likely to intensify in the future and land users need to develop sustainable adaptation strategies. This study aims to identify land‐use and land‐cover (LULC) changes and their drivers in a sub‐Saharan dryland, between 1986 and 2017, by integrating local knowledge and remote sensing. Local knowledge and environmental perception are used as the basis for defining LULC classes and for training and validation of change detection. This study detects significant LULC changes in 41% of the investigated area, and identifies bush encroachment into former pastures as the dominant LULC change with an increase of woodland by 39% and a decrease of grassland by 74%. This process is perceived as severe degradation by local respondents and is linked to changing management regimes and unreliable rainfall patterns. Deforestation and woodland thinning account for 44% of the detected changes, and can be traced back to increased habitation and farming, although the local community also identifies charcoal production as a driving factor. The integration of remote sensing and local knowledge provides a holistic view on LULC change in Pokot Central, Kenya and offers a solid base for site‐specific and actor‐centred management approaches necessary for sustainable pathways of drylands. Our results emphasize the need to include local actors in the development of adaptation strategies and management guidelines for drylands.

Highlights

  • Rural communities in the drylands of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) derive their livelihoods primarily from their natural resource base

  • The integration of remote sensing and local knowledge provides a holistic view on landuse and land-cover (LULC) change in Pokot Central, Kenya and offers a solid base for sitespecific and actor-centred management approaches necessary for sustainable pathways of drylands

  • This study aims at identifying LULC changes and their drivers in the sub-Saharan dryland of Pokot Central, Kenya, over a time frame of three decades

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Summary

Introduction

Rural communities in the drylands of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) derive their livelihoods primarily from their natural resource base. Extensive changes in these environments over the past few decades are likely to intensify in the future and land users need to develop sustainable adaptation strategies. 2,000 years indicate that climate variations have always played an important role in shaping different livelihood pathways and migration patterns in Eastern Africa (Marchant et al, 2018; Verschuren, 2004). Current changes have been driven by local and external anthropogenic as well as ecological causes (Chalmers & Fabricius, 2007; Liao, Agrawal, Clark, Levin, & Rubenstein, 2020; Thondhlana, Vedeld, & Shackleton, 2012). Future climate predictions for SSA indicate that.

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