Abstract
The successful removal of rodents from islands around New Zealand has enabled translocation of rare species of lizards to new sites within their former range. Four species of skinks were translocated to Korapuki Island, Mercury Islands, New Zealand: Cyclodina alani, C. oliveri, C. whitakeri and Oligosoma suteri. Responses of three of the lizard species to release were predicted using a deterministic population model then compared with the actual performance of wild populations. The population models predicted that if populations of about 30 C. whitakeri and O. suteri were released, C. whitakeri would be increasing by 7% p.a. and O. suteri would be increasing by over 35% p.a. during year five. If 20 C. alani were released, the population could be increasing by 70% p.a. during year five. Population expansions are being recorded for all three species, but observed population increases were lower than those predicted for two species, partly because of low catchability of immature lizards. The lowest rate of increase (up to 7% p.a.) was for C. whitakeri. Low rates of population expansion found in species such as C. whitakeri raise a conundrum: the rarer a species is, and the lower its annual reproductive output, the larger the number of individuals that may be required for translocations to succeed. Translocations may be regarded as successful when new populations are self-sustaining and comprised only of locally born animals. Despite the populations increasing, it may not be possible to claim success for the three intensively studied species on Korapuki Island until at least 20 years after release. This is because of longevity of the founders, which are still being caught up to 12 years after release. Extreme longevity, and hence prolonged post-release monitoring, is likely to be a recurrent problem for translocations of rare lizards.
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