Congruence between parental reproductive investment and success determined by DNA-based pedigree reconstruction in conifer seed orchards

Abstract

Seed orchards’ parental reproductive success is often assessed through surveys of seed- and pollen-cone production (reproductive investment). Although the reliability of this approach has been questioned, its speed and ease made it the method of choice for providing approximate estimates for the genetic quality and quantity of seed orchard crops. In this study, reproductive investment data from various female and male phenotypic assessment methods from three seed orchards (lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta Dougl. ex. Loud. var. latifolia Engelm.), Douglas-fir ( Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco), and western larch ( Larix occidentalis Nutt.)) were compared with reproductive success estimates based on DNA fingerprinting and parentage analyses. The use of reproductive investment as a proxy to reproductive success on estimating seed crop’s volume genetic worth and diversity (measured by effective number of parents) was evaluated. Regression analyses indicated that the phenotypic assessment methods reflect the true parental reproductive success and that estimates of seed- and pollen-cone volume production appear to be the most appropriate indicators of female and male reproductive success, respectively. Although the best combination of female–male survey methods produced inflated effective number of parents estimates, the genetic worth estimates were similar to those based on DNA, highlighting their robustness to fertility variation assessment.