Abstract

As the new energy industry continues to progress, the health management of power batteries has become the key to ensuring the performance and safety of automobiles. Therefore, accurately predicting battery capacity decline is particularly important. A battery capacity degradation prediction model combining unscented particle filtering, particle swarm optimization, and SVR is constructed. It optimizes regression parameters through the introduced optimization strategy. Unscented particle filtering is used to improve particle swarm optimization and battery detection model. The study tested four various models of lithium-ion batteries. The model predicted a mean square error of 0.0011 for battery 5, 0.0007 for battery 6, 0.0022 for battery 7, and 0.0013 for battery 18. In the prediction of different battery types, the mean square error of the NIMH battery was reduced by 0.0008 compared with the particle swarm optimization-support vector regression algorithm, and by 0.0005 compared with the unscented particle filtering-regression vector regression algorithm. The mean square error of lithium-iron phosphate battery was reduced by 0.0008 and 0.0004 respectively compared with comparison models. The mean square error value of lithium titanate battery was reduced by 0.0007 and 0.0003 respectively in the research model compared with comparison models. It improves the prediction accuracy in lithium-ion batteries. Its application in battery health management can provide important technical support for improving battery performance and extending service cycles. The proposed method can be used for battery monitoring and management of power grid energy storage system. By accurately predicting the capacity decline of battery, the operation strategy of energy storage system can be optimized to ensure the efficient operation and long life of the system. The battery management system can be used for drones and aviation equipment to predict battery health and capacity decline in real time, ensuring the safety and reliability of flight missions.

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