Abstract

This study evaluated resources carrying capacity as a foundation to regionalize Hubei. Firstly, system dynamics was used to build the simulation model of resources carrying capacity to evaluate the population can be carried. We divided the man-earth system into four subsystem: land use, water resource, environmental and socio-economic system. It turns out that Hubei can carry a population of 76.43million in 2010, 105.92million in 2020. And water resource carrying capacity surpasses other carrying capacity in 11 municipalities among 17 districts of Hubei. Secondly, carrying capacity index and carrying capacity per hectare were put forward to revise the calculation, in order to eliminate the impact of land area and population and reveal local resources endowment. In addition, this research applied hierarchical clustering to class 17 municipalities of Hubei and brought out five comprehensive zones.

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