Component-Element Composition of National Economy Forecasting and Planning Methodology

Abstract

The methodology and its components play a crucial role in forming the necessary basis for forecasting and planning the national economy. The work found that in the literature there is no generally accepted understanding of the content of the methodology of forecasting and planning work, which leads to ambiguous interpretations in the selection of its parts, complicating the analysis of practical application. The aim of the study is to determine the complex of key components and elements of the methodology based on the understanding of foresight and design of the future as creative and transformative activity and to test the element-byelement structure using the example of forecasting and planning in Russia. The novelty of the research lies in the creation of a decomposition model of the category “methodology of forecasting and planning of the national economy”. The obtained results of the study made it possible to single out such components of the methodology as the foundations, order, methods, results, monitoring of forecast and planned work; the elements of the methodology were typologized principles, approaches, logic, actions, algorithms, typologies, methods, technologies, parameters, indicators, documents, document systems, audit and adjustment. The practical significance of the results obtained is determined by the possibility of their application in the practice of state regulation of the economy, allowing one to identify, evaluate and correct the implementation of the component-element composition of the methodology in modern practice of public administration.The research prospects are to study the possibilities of including new elements in the methodology, as well as complementing approaches and methods that allow for effective forecasting and planning in the post-industrial economy.