Abstract

The competitive exclusion principle means that the strain with the largest reproduction number persists while eliminating all other strains with suboptimal reproduction numbers. In this paper, we extend the competitive exclusion principle to a multi-strain vector-borne epidemic model with age-since-infection. The model includes both incubation age of the exposed hosts and infection age of the infectious hosts, both of which describe the different removal rates in the latent period and the variable infectiousness in the infectious period, respectively. The formulas for the reproduction numbers $\mathcal R^j_0$ of strain $j,j=1,2,···, n$, are obtained from the biological meanings of the model. The strain $j$ can not invade the system if $\mathcal R^j_0 1$, then a single-strain equilibrium $\mathcal{E}_{j_0}$ exists, and the single strain equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when $\mathcal R^{j_0}_0>1$ and $\mathcal R^{j_0}_0>\mathcal R^{j}_0,j≠ j_0$. Finally, by using a Lyapunov function, sufficient conditions are further established for the global asymptotical stability of the single-strain equilibrium corresponding to strain $j_0$, which means strain $j_0$ eliminates all other stains as long as $\mathcal R^{j}_0/\mathcal R^{j_0}_0

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