Abstract
Aim: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a frequent reason for patient presentation in emergency department. It is hard to assess objectively the grade of the disease due to a wide range of clinical signs in terms of determination the need for intensive care or surgical intervention. At this stage there is not a unique, unified scoring system that determines the severity of the disease. In this study we aimed to compare clinically used AP scoring systems; Ranson, BISAP and Balthazar (CTSI), SIRS to predict disease severity. Material and Methods: In this study, AP patients that were diagnosed by Atlanta criteria were analyzed retrospectively. The clinical, laboratory and radiological images and results of the patients were analyzed by using the "first 24 hours Ranson", "BISAP" and SIRS scores. The Balthazar scores were calculated from the CT reports retrospectively. Results: Age, respiratory rate and BUN values of the patients with mortality were significantly higher than the patients who survived, whereas diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, SO2 and amylase values of the patients with mortality were found to be significantly lower than the patients who survived. When the 6 month mortality prediction of prognostic scoring systems was examined, it was found that the BISAP score could catch 94% of mortality (95% CI: 0.88-0.97), and the SIRS score could predict mortality by 74.7% (95% CI: 0,66-0,82). Conclusion: Regarding the APs severity prediction, BISAP and SIRS scores were more sensitive and specific in terms of monthly and overall mortality in patients.
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