Community Patterns and Environmental Associations for Pelagic Fishes in a Highly Modified Estuary

Abstract

AbstractUnderstanding how natural and human‐induced processes interact to influence ecosystem responses is essential for their effective management and conservation. Long‐term environmental degradation of the upper San Francisco Estuary, California, has resulted in numerous species declines. In this study, we used pelagic fish monitoring and hydrodynamic data during winter–spring 2002–2014 to evaluate how natural and human‐induced environmental changes in the upper San Francisco Estuary may have influenced the distribution, abundance, and community structure of the pelagic fishes. Delta outflow and turbidity tended to decline and salinity tended to increase since the early 2000s. Twelve of the 27 pelagic fish species sampled were introduced, most of which were freshwater‐dominant species in highly altered upstream areas. Overall mean relative abundance was similar between native and introduced fishes across all study areas. The upstream distribution of the eight most abundant pelagic fishes was generally associated with their salinity habitat components. Among these species, the Delta Smelt Hypomesus transpacificus and the introduced Threadfin Shad Dorosoma petenense had the highest rates of population decline over the period 2002–2014 and the largest relative increase in salinity predicted in their habitats due to hydrological alteration. Community structure was significantly related to abiotic factors (water temperature, salinity, and turbidity) and spatiotemporal variation (longitude and month), which accounted for 30–33% of the variation. Low to intermediate outflows due to droughts and water diversions since the early 2000s likely interacted synergistically with multiple factors, decreasing the abundance of several pelagic species. Management actions linking ecologic, hydrologic, and geomorphic processes with multiple stressors could help to reverse the long‐term decline of Delta Smelt and other threatened and endangered fishes in the San Francisco Estuary.