Abstract
Creating a century-long homogenized near-surface wind speed (WS) observation dataset is essential to improve our knowledge about the uncertainty and causes of current WS stilling and recovery. Here, we rescued paper-based WS records dating back to the 1920s at 13 stations in Sweden and established a four-step homogenization procedure to generate the first 10-member centennial homogenized WS dataset (HomogWS-se) for community use. First, background climate variation in the rescued WS series was removed, using a verified reanalysis series as a reference series to construct a difference series. A penalized maximal F test at a significance level of 0.05 was then applied to detect spurious change-points. About 38 % of the detected change-points were confirmed by the known events recorded in metadata, and the average segment length split by the change-points is ~11.3 years. A mean-matching method using up to five years of data from two adjacent segments was used to adjust the earlier segments relative to the latest segment. The homogenized WS series was finally obtained by adding the homogenized difference series back onto the subtracted reference series. Compared with the raw WS data, the homogenized WS data is more continuous and lacks significant non-climatic jumps. The homogenized WS series presents an initial WS stilling and subsequent recovery until the 1990s, whereas the raw WS fluctuates with no clear trend before the 1970s. The homogenized WS shows a 25 % reduction in the WS stilling during 1990–2005 than the raw WS, and this reduction is significant when considering the homogenization uncertainty. The homogenized WS exhibits a significantly stronger correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) than that of the raw WS (0.54 vs 0.29). These results highlight the importance of the century-long homogenized WS series in increasing our ability to detect and attribute multidecadal variability and changes in WS. The proposed homogenization procedure enables other countries or regions to rescue their early climate data and jointly build global long-term high-quality datasets. HomogWS-se is publicly available from the Zenodo repository at http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5850264 (Zhou et al., 2022).
Highlights
Near-surface wind speed (WS) change and variability have significant impacts on our climate, environment, and human society
We collected all available metadata from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) archive and tried to validate the detected change-points to the extent that these incomplete records permit
38% of our detected change-points are confirmed by the known events recorded in the metadata
Summary
Near-surface wind speed (WS) change and variability have significant impacts on our climate, environment, and human society. As revealed by many previous studies (Roderick et al, 2007; Vautard et al, 2010; McVicar et al, 2012; Minola et al, 2016; Laapas and Venäläinen, 2017; Azorin‐Molina et al, 2018; Zeng et al, 2019; Zhang and Wang, 2020), WS decreased from the 1970s to 2010s, and subsequently recovered over many terrestrial regions of the Northern Hemisphere – this is known as the WS stilling and recovery. Possible causes of the WS stilling and recovery have been widely discussed, and include changes in surface roughness induced by greenness and land use/cover change (Vautard et al, 2010; Wu et al, 2018a; Zhang and Wang, 2021), and large-scale atmospheric circulation changes (Azorin‐Molina et al, 2018; Wu et al, 2018b; Zeng et al., 2019), such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) as revealed in Sweden by Minola et al
Published Version (Free)
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have