Abstract

ObjectiveTo evaluate the combined effect of C-reactive protein (CRP) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) on the prediction of in-hospital and long-term poor outcomes in patients with blood culture-negative infective endocarditis (BCNE).ResultsPatients with high CRP and high RDW has the highest incidence of in-hospital death (2.3% vs. 7.8% vs. 5.6% vs. 17.5%, P < 0.001). CRP > 17.8 mg/L (odds ratio [OR]=2.41, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06–5.51, P = 0.037), RDW >16.3 (OR = 2.29, 95% CI, 1.10–4.77, P = 0.027), and these two values in combination (OR = 3.15, 95% CI, 1.46–6.78, P=0.003) were independently associated with in-hospital death. Patients with RDW > 16.3 had higher long-term mortality (P = 0.003), while no significant correlation was observed for CRP (P = 0.151).Materials and MethodsIn total, 572 participants with BCNE were consecutively enrolled. They were classified into four groups based on the optimal CRP and RDW cut-off values (which were determined using a receiver operating characteristic analysis): low CRP and low RDW (n = 216), high CRP and low RDW (n = 129), low CRP and high RDW (n = 107), and high CRP and high RDW (n = 120).ConclusionsIncreased CRP and RDW, especially in combination, are independently associated with in-hospital death in BCNE. RDW, but not CRP, has long-term prognostic value.

Highlights

  • Despite intensive antibiotic therapy and aggressive surgical intervention, infective endocarditis (IE) remains a serious and potentially life-threatening condition [1]

  • C-reactive protein (CRP) > 17.8 mg/L, red blood cell distribution width (RDW) >16.3 (OR = 2.29, 95% Confidence interval (CI), 1.10–4.77, P = 0.027), and these two values in combination (OR = 3.15, 95% CI, 1.46–6.78, P=0.003) were independently associated with in-hospital death

  • In the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis, CRP > 17.8 mg/L showed a sensitivity of 76.2% and a specificity of 58.3% for predicting in-hospital death (AUC = 0.696, 95% CI, 0.620–0.772, P < 0.001)

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Summary

Introduction

Despite intensive antibiotic therapy and aggressive surgical intervention, infective endocarditis (IE) remains a serious and potentially life-threatening condition [1]. Among IE patients, 5–69.7% are blood culture-negative with relatively poor outcomes, in developing countries [5,6,7]. Limited studies to date have focused on this patient population. Several factors, including old age, contribute to high mortality and morbidity rates in IE patients [8,9,10]. Elevation of C-reactive protein (CRP) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) have been shown to be associated, at least partly, with poor outcomes in IE patients [11,12,13,14]. The present study was aimed at evaluating the predictive value of combined CRP and RDW for outcomes of patients with blood culture-negative infective endocarditis (BCNE)

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