Abstract

Climate change is expected to increase climate variability and the occurrence of extreme climatic events, with potentially devastating effects on aquatic ecosystems. However, little is known about the role of climate extremes in structuring aquatic communities or the interplay between climate and local abiotic and biotic factors. Here, we examine the relative influence of climate and local abiotic and biotic conditions on biodiversity and community structure in lake invertebrates. We sampled aquatic invertebrates and measured environmental variables in 19 lakes throughout California, USA, to test hypotheses of the relationship between climate, local biotic and environmental conditions, and the taxonomic and functional structure of aquatic invertebrate communities. We found that, while local biotic and abiotic factors such as habitat availability and conductivity were the most consistent predictors of alpha diversity, extreme climate conditions such as maximum summer temperature and dry‐season precipitation were most often associated with multivariate taxonomic and functional composition. Specifically, sites with high maximum temperatures and low dry‐season precipitation housed communities containing high abundances of large predatory taxa. Furthermore, both climate dissimilarity and abiotic dissimilarity determined taxonomic turnover among sites (beta diversity). These findings suggest that while local‐scale environmental variables may predict alpha diversity, climatic variability is important to consider when projecting broad‐scale aquatic community responses to the extreme temperature and precipitation events that are expected for much of the world during the next century.

Highlights

  • A growing body of research suggests that climate variability is increasing (Easterling et al, 2000; Huntington, 2006; Karl, Meehl, & Miller, 2008; Ruff, Kushnir, & Seager, 2011), producing more extreme precipitation and temperature events

  • Despite a signal of climate extremes in multivariate community structure and beta diversity, biotic and abiotic local environmental conditions were the best predictors of alpha diversity at the local scale

  • In conjunction with previous studies, we found that the taxonomic alpha diversity of aquatic invertebrate communities is strongly shaped by the biotic environment (Shurin, Gruner, & Hillebrand, 2006)

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Summary

| INTRODUCTION

A growing body of research suggests that climate variability is increasing (Easterling et al, 2000; Huntington, 2006; Karl, Meehl, & Miller, 2008; Ruff, Kushnir, & Seager, 2011), producing more extreme precipitation and temperature events. Biotic, and climate effects can be studied separately, it is more appropriate to study them together due to the simple reality that abiotic and biotic factors interact with one another over long-t­erm climate regimes (Dunson & Travis, 1991) The importance of this integrated approach becomes obvious when trying to understand how climate extremes may affect community structure. We hypothesized that the scale of the diversity measurements would match the scale of the environmental predictors: (1) local biotic and abiotic factors will be the strongest determinants of local alpha diversity and community composition of taxonomy and traits, and (2) topographic and climate factors will be the strongest determinants of turnover among communities (beta diversity) We found that this was not entirely the case, and incongruences between our predictions and outcomes suggest an important role of climate extremes

| MATERIALS AND METHODS
Findings
| DISCUSSION
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