Abstract

Forest fires that occur will cause various kinds of problems, both in terms of health, such as smoke that can interfere with the respiratory system, in terms of the economy such as the economic wheel cannot run as usual, in terms of the environment can damage the surrounding environment and the environment that is missed by smoke, and other disasters. Forest fires can also have an impact on the costs that will be incurred to resolve the problems that arise due to forest fires, so research is needed to find out and measure the area affected by forest fires that burned in the range of 1980 - 2019 using a dataset of approximately 10,000. The target in this research is to be able to generate the best percentage scenario and find out the model of using the algorithm used to explore the algorithm in the Machine Learning method for the model for estimating the area of forest fires, namely the Siak Kampar Peninsula in Riau Province. In this study, 7 parameters were used to create a forest and land fire hazard map, namely weather temperature, Burned Area Density, hotspot density, wind speed, land cover type, rainfall, and land use. The seven parameters will be searched for accuracy results using the Classification method with Machine Learning algorithms, including Naïve Bayes, SVM, and K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN). In this study, comparisons were made to obtain the best algorithm for estimating forest fire areas. By generating each algorithm is 71.72% for the Naïve Bayes algorithm, 75.00% for the SVM algorithm, and 64.71% for the K-NN algorithm.

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