Circulating tumor cell phenotype detection based on epithelial-mesenchymal transition markers combined with clinicopathological risk has potential to better predict recurrence in stage III breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy: a pilot study.

Abstract

The potential value of detecting epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) CTCs in early breast cancer, especially during the neoadjuvant therapy period, requires further investigation. We analyzed dynamic CTC phenotype status, to improve recurrence risk stratification for patients with stage III breast cancers. We enrolled 45 patients with stage III breast cancers from 2 clinical trials undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy and utilized the CanPatrol CTC enrichment technique pre- and post-chemotherapy to identify CTC phenotypes, including epithelial CTCs, biphenotypic epithelial/mesenchymal CTCs, and mesenchymal CTCs, in peripheral blood samples. Kaplan-Meier analyses were conducted to explore the prognostic value of dynamic change of CTC count and the proportion of CTCs with different phenotypes. Then, redefine the risk stratification based on CTC status and clinicopathological risk in combination. Increased proportion of M + CTCs was a high-risk CTC status that was associated with decreased DFS (HR, 3.584; 95% CI, 1.057-12.15). In a combined analysis with clinicopathological risk, patients with high-risk tumors had an elevated risk of recurrence compared to patients with low-risk tumors (HR, 4.482; 95% CI, 1.246-16.12). The recurrence risk could be effectively stratified by newly defined risk stratification criteria, with 5-year DFS of 100.0%, 77.3%, and 50.0%, respectively, for low-risk, mid-risk, and high-risk patients (P = 0.0077). Finally, in the ROC analysis, the redefined risk stratification demonstrated higher predictive significance with an AUC of 0.7727, compared to CTC status alone (AUC of 0.6751) or clinicopathological risk alone (AUC of 0.6858). The proportion of M + CTCs increased after neoadjuvant chemotherapy indicating a higher risk of tumor recurrence. Combining CTC status with clinicopathological risk has potential to redefine the risk stratification of stage III breast cancers and provide improved predictions of relapse.