Abstract

Chinese fertility policy has changed from family planning to two child policy and even three child policy. China's fertility rate is declining year by year and its economy is growing rapidly. Based on the background, this paper studies the relationship between China's fertility rate and economy over time and across space, mainly focuses on the income effect of economy on fertility, and discusses the impact of national fertility policy on its relationship. This paper mainly uses the reproducible utility model of Gary S. Becker (1998) and applies the linear regression OLS model to analyze the fertility rate and per capita GDP over time and across space. According to the analysis, the fertility rate shows a downward trend with the growth of per capita GDP over time, but the rate of decline is gradually slowing down. Moreover, the impact of national fertility policy on the relationship between fertility and per capita GDP is relatively significant. Regionally, the highest fertility rate and the response of fertility rate to economic growth is in the western region, while the lowest is in the eastern region. This study reveals the income effect of China's fertility policy on the economic status of fertility. In the family planning stage, the income effect has a negative impact on fertility, while after the implementation of the second child policy, the income effect has no impact on fertility. This paper points out that the fertility policy should continue to be liberalized, so that the income effect has a positive impact on the fertility rate.

Highlights

  • Introduction1.1 The Variation in Fertility Over Time and Across Space

  • 1.1 The Variation in Fertility Over Time and Across SpaceChina has had a lot of variation in fertility across space and over time

  • We aim to examine that whether the decline of China's fertility rate is related to China's economic growth and whether this relationship is related to China's fertility policy

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Summary

Introduction

1.1 The Variation in Fertility Over Time and Across Space. China has had a lot of variation in fertility across space and over time. China has experienced more than 70 years of development since the founding of the people's Republic of China and Chinese fertility concept has been constantly changing. The fertility concept in the eastern developed regions is more conservative than that in the western regions. In terms of spatial distribution, as a country with a population of 1.4 billion and a land area of about 9.6 million square kilometers, Different cities of China in different development stage have different fertility regions, which can be roughly divided into Eastern China, Middle China and Western China. The fertility rate in this data refers to the annual fertility rate

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