Abstract

This paper analyzes whether China’s investment and savings rates are too high by considering the rate of return to investment and other factors. It also investigates the reasons for the rapid increase in the savings rate by using various sources of data and analytical tools. In particular, much attention is paid to the distribution of income among households, corporations, and the government, and to the labor income share. Policy proposals for structural adjustment are discussed based on the finding of the investigation.

Highlights

  • Since the start of the new century, China’s economic demand structure has undergone a very rapid change

  • The most important source we found of the decline in the labor income share is the structural transformation from agriculture to industry and services

  • The paper argues that the investment rate is too high because of the low return and because it is higher than the level that theoretically maximizes consumption

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Summary

Introduction

Since the start of the new century, China’s economic demand structure has undergone a very rapid change. Household consumption as a share of GDP declined from 46.4 % in 2000 to 33.8 % in 2010; national savings rate increased from 37.7 to 52.6 % in the same period.

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