Abstract
Washington’s decision in December 2001 to announce its intention to withdraw from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty within six months has heaped uncertainties onto US–China relations. Beijing is being asked to accept that missile defence is now a strategic fait accompli and is consequently considering how to calibrate its response. Washington has been careful to initiate a dialogue with Beijing on missile defence issues. The quality of these discussions will have a significant impact on the precise nature of Beijing’s response, and, more broadly, the extent to which the two sides can reach an understanding that stabilises currently hazardous fluctuations in their strategic relations.
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