Abstract
The low carbon development roadmap is an extremely important topic of fundamental research in China due to China's lack of energy resources, serious environment pollution, and huge greenhouse gas (GHG) emission. In this paper, an overview of energy supply and demand in Chongqing, and a summary of current social and economic development planning and energy policies were provided, as background to the implementation of Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model of Chongqing. The LEAP model is used to compare future energy demand and supply patterns, as well as GHG emissions peak arriving. Results of scenarios featuring business-as-usual (BAU) policies, low carbon development (LCD) strategy, carbon emission trading scheme (ETS) pilot, and coal consumption controlling (CCC) action are provided and compared, along with sensitivity cases exploring the impacts of various scenario assumptions. Results show that, Chongqing's emission peak would arrive at nearly 2025 in BAU scenario; while keeping the carbon intensity of GDP reduction continuously, utilizing more clean energy, and implementing ETS could help Chongqing to achieve energy consumption and GHG emission more cost effective than BAU scenario. This study provides a quantitative, city-specific analysis of low carbon development roadmap, which can be used to support policymakers’ decision.
Published Version
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