Abstract

The present chapter discusses the changes in moisture recycling over the monsoon core region (MCR) of India using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) multimodel mean datasets during the southwest monsoon season for the present and future climate, in particular during the El Niño years. Our results show that the contribution of advection is more in the rainfall than that of evaporation over some parts of Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP). Moisture recycling is about 50%–60% over the eastern parts of IGP and about 10% over the rest of the MCR. The overall trend of local evaporation contribution has shown a decreasing trend with less than 21% of the normal by the end of the 21st century under the RCP4.5 (medium) and RCP8.5 (very high) emission scenarios during future strong and very strong El Niño years

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