Abstract

In this chapter, risk assessment and risk management of fire-induced domino effects are introduced. In fire-induced domino effects, synergistic effect of multiple burning units will increase risk of domino effects, and the synergistic effect is time-dependent. Firstly, a novel (fire synergistic effect model) FSEM approach is proposed to model the contribution of the spatial–temporal synergistic effect of fires for domino effects. Secondly, a novel approach is proposed to model the spatial–temporal evolution and perform a risk analysis of fire-induced domino effects based on FSEM. Thirdly, a novel risk management approach is proposed to reduce fire-induced domino effect risk by leveraging loading/unloading demands based on FSEM and inventory management. At last, a framework combining uncertainty reasoning approach and deterministic modeling approach has been proposed to assess the fire accident probability before a primary accident occurs and to model the domino evolution process after a primary accident occurs, respectively.

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