Casual Nexus Between Dynamics of Population and Food Security: Economic Benchmarks for Agriculture

Abstract

Food security and dynamics of population have a dual connection. Firstly, a rapid rise in the population size increases a demand for food. Secondly, a lack of food affordability and availability implies negative dynamics of population. The latter issue observed in Ukraine highlighted the goal of this research. The methodological study background was econometrics and cluster comparative analysis. The considered time series covered the period 1999 to 2018. The accessible cross-sectional data included 90 countries. The research outcome in the form of multiple regressions allowed forecasting the objective values of expenditures on food, income per capita, and daily protein intakes which could retain a stable population size. The offered EU and World Top benchmarks involved the GDP indicator, balance between crop and animal food supplies, medium age, and share of rural population by country. These findings made possible to set prospects of amplifying Ukrainian food security and improving population dynamics.