Cardiometabolic risk factors in siblings from a statewide screening program

Abstract

The Coronary Artery Risk Detection in Appalachian Communities (CARDIAC) Project is a state-wide risk factor screening program that operated in West Virginia for 19years and screened more than 100,000 5th graders for obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. We investigated siblings in the CARDIAC Project to assess whether cardiometabolic risk factors (CMRFs) correlate in siblings. We identified 12,053 children from 5752 families with lipid panel, blood pressure, and anthropometric data. A linkage application (LinkPlus from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) matched siblings based on parent names, addresses, telephone numbers, and school to generate a linkage probability curve. Graphical and statistical analyses demonstrate the relationships between CMRFs in siblings. Siblings showed moderate intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.375 for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), 0.34 for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and 0.22 for triglyceride levels. The body mass index (BMI) intraclass correlation coefficient (0.383) is slightly better (2%) than LDL-C or HDL-C, but the standardized beta values from linear regression suggest a 3-fold impact of sibling LDL-C over the child's own BMI. The odds ratio of a second sibling having LDL-C < 110mg/dL with a first sibling at that level is 3.444:1 (Confidence Limit 3.031-3.915, P<.05). The odds ratio of a sibling showing an LDL-C ≥ 160mg/dL, given a first sibling with that degree of elevated LDL-C is 29.6:1 (95% Confidence Limit: 15.54-56.36). The individual LDL-C level correlated more strongly with sibling LDL-C than with the individual's own BMI. Seventy-eight children with LDL-C > 160mg/dL and negative family history would have been missed, which represents more than half of those with LDL-C > 160mg/dL (78 vs 67 or 54%). Sibling HDL-C levels, LDL-C levels, and BMIs correlate within a family. Triglyceride and blood pressure levels are less well correlated. The identified CMRF relationships strengthen the main findings of the overall CARDIAC Project: an elevated BMI is not predictive of elevated LDL-C and family history of coronary artery disease poorly predicts cholesterol abnormality at screening. Family history does not adequately identify children who should be screened for cholesterol abnormality. Elevated LDL-C (>160mg/dL) in a child strongly suggests that additional siblings and parents be screened if universal screening is not practiced.