Abstract

There is an increasingly urgent need to reduce carbon emissions. Devising effective carbon tax policies has become an important research topic. It is necessary to explore carbon reduction strategies based on the design of carbon tax elements. In this study, we explore the effect of a progressive carbon tax policy on carbon emission reductions using the logical deduction method. We apply experience-weighted attraction learning theory to construct an evolutionary game model for enterprises with different levels of energy consumption in an NW small-world network, and study their strategy choices when faced with a progressive carbon tax policy. The findings suggest that enterprises that adopt other energy consumption strategies gradually transform to a low energy consumption strategy, and that this trend eventually spreads to the entire system. With other conditions unchanged, the rate at which enterprises change to a low energy consumption strategy becomes faster as the discount coefficient, the network externality, and the expected adjustment factor increase. Conversely, the rate of change slows as the cost of converting to a low energy consumption strategy increases.

Highlights

  • Climate change, as an ultimate common problem of human beings [1], is caused by anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2) that have serious ecological and economic consequences [2]

  • A complex network system based on an NW small-world network is constructed and an experience-weighted attraction (EWA) learning model is selected to simulate and analyze the evolutionary game between different enterprises in the industrial cluster under the progressive carbon tax policy

  • Each enterprise adjusts its probability of achieving every state after adopting a high, medium, or low energy consumption strategy, using the adaptive expectation adjustment method based on the environmental cost of the progressive carbon tax policy

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Summary

Introduction

As an ultimate common problem of human beings [1], is caused by anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2) that have serious ecological and economic consequences [2]. We construct the evolutionary game model with enterprises with different levels of energy consumption under an NW small-world network, and use it to study enterprises’ consumption strategy choices under the progressive carbon tax policy. Using experience-weighted attraction (EWA) learning theory and the relevant parameter settings, this study describes and simulates the dynamic strategy selection game between enterprises under the benchmark parameters. It analyzes the influence of different parameters (including the discount coefficient, conversion cost, network externality and expected adjustment factor) on the evolution results. The results and conclusions can serve as a useful guide for governments to devise relevant policies and for enterprises to make strategic decisions

Literature Review
A Model of Progressive Carbon Tax Policy
Social Welfare Maximization Model
Evolutionary Game Learning Model
The Basic Premise of the Traditional Industrial Cluster Evolution Model
The Expected Earnings Setting in the Evolutionary Game
Numerical Simulation and Results
Parameter Initialization Settings
Evolution among Enterprises under the Benchmark Parameters
Full Text
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