Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Is an Invasive Malignancy Preoperative Prognostic Factor for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

Abstract

Introduction: This study aimed to determine the preoperative clinicophysiological and postoperative clinicopathological predictors of malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Methods: This was a retrospective observational study. We included 121 patients (73 men and 48 women; mean age: 68.7 years) who had undergone pancreatic resection for IPMN between 2007 and 2018. These patients were grouped into invasive carcinoma (IPMN-INV, N = 21) and low/high-grade IPMN (IPMN-LG/HG, N = 100) groups. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinicophysiological parameters were carried out. These parameters were also compared between the IPMN-INV/HG (N = 53) and IPMN-LG (N = 68) groups. Survival analyses according to macroscopic type and IPMN subtypes were performed. Results: On univariate analysis, age (p = 0.038), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 (p < 0.001), IPMN macroscopic type (p = 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p < 0.001), and mural nodule (p = 0.042), between IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor of IPMN malignancy on multivariate analysis (p = 0.035). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates of the IPMN-INV and IPMN-LG/HG groups were 94.4/100%, 94.4/100%, and 67.2/100%, respectively. The OS rate in the IPMN-LG/HG group was significantly higher than that in the IPMN-INV group (p < 0.001). On univariate analysis, platelet (p = 0.043), CA 19-9 (p = 0.039), prognostic nutritional index (p = 0.034), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (p = 0.01), IPMN macroscopic type (p < 0.001), IPMN subtype (p < 0.001), pancreatic duct diameter (p = 0.036), and mural nodule (p = 0.032) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG were found to be significant prognostic factors of malignancy. On multivariate analysis, CA 19-9 was found to be an independent prognostic factor (p = 0.042) between IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG of malignancy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of the IPMN-INV/HG and IPMN-LG groups were 97.9/100%, 97.9/100%, and 82.6/100%, respectively. The OS rate was significantly higher in the IPMN-LG group than in the IPMN-INV/HG group (p = 0.03). No significant differences in survival were observed in patients with macroscopic tumors (p= 0.544). Conclusion: CA 19-9 is an independent invasive malignancy predictor of IPMN.