Abstract

AbstractThe Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) is a thick low‐stratified subsurface water mass located north of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, and it is important for heat uptake. How the SAMW has changed and what drives that change remain to be quantified. By synthesizing observations, eddy‐resolving ocean model hindcasts and climate model simulations, we show that the SAMW has become warmer, fresher, lighter, and weaker in recent decades. As revealed by partially coupled model experiments, the SAMW core has remained at a constant depth since 2004 due to a balance between the enhanced wind stress curl, which deepens the SAMW core, and the buoyancy gain, which shallows the core. The lightening and weakening of the SAMW mainly result from the increased surface buoyancy gain due to climate warming, while the enhanced westerlies play a secondary role in slowing this trend. As greenhouse warming continues, the increased stratification will keep weakening the SAMW.

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