Abstract

Successful eradication schemes for bovine tuberculosis (bTB) have been implemented in a number of European and other countries over the last 50 years. However, the islands of Britain and Ireland remain a significant aberration to this trend, with the recent exception of Scotland. Why have eradication schemes failed within these countries, while apparently similar programs have been successful elsewhere? While significant socio-economic and political factors have been discussed elsewhere as key determinants of disease eradication, here we review some of the potential ecological and epidemiological constraints that are present in these islands relative to other parts of Europe. We argue that the convergence of these potential factors may interact additively to diminish the potential of the present control programs to achieve eradication. Issues identified include heterogeneity of diagnostic testing approaches, the presence of an abundant wildlife reservoir of infection and the challenge of sustainably managing this risk effectively; the nature, size, density and network structure of cattle farming; potential effects of Mycobacterium bovis strain heterogeneity on disease transmission dynamics; possible impacts of concurrent endemic infections on the disclosure of truly infected animals; climatological differences and change coupled with environmental contamination. We further argue that control and eradication of this complex disease may benefit from an ecosystem level approach to management. We hope that this perspective can stimulate a new conversation about the many factors potentially impacting bTB eradication schemes in Britain and Ireland and possibly stimulate new research in the areas identified.

Highlights

  • Bovine tuberculosis caused by Mycobacterium bovis is a zoonotic disease, primarily affecting livestock, which is of economic importance to the European Union (EU) due to its impact on trade

  • Our suggestions have arisen from a broad comparative approach which contrasts landscape, ecological, animal husbandry and molecular epidemiological characteristics within Britain and Ireland to those primarily observed on the wider European Continent

  • We do not propose that these potential factors are exhaustive, merely that they may be worthy of further investigation, and individually or collectively may constitute novel hypotheses that go some way to explaining the comparative lack of progress in bTB eradication in these islands

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Summary

Introduction

Bovine tuberculosis (bTB) caused by Mycobacterium bovis is a zoonotic disease, primarily affecting livestock, which is of economic importance to the European Union (EU) due to its impact on trade. Bayesian non-gold standard methods applied to data from Ireland have suggested skin test sensitivity is in the region of 50–60% [11], which has been further supported by a Bayesian meta-analysis from studies in the literature from 1934 to 2009 [12] Such relatively poor diagnostic performance may explain a failure to eradicate disease since many truly infected animals will be mis-classified as disease free. Despite widespread standardisation in the basic diagnostic approach of using injectable tuberculins, there are individual differences in the application of eradication programmes subject to the variations of differing national policies, politics, behaviours and country specific factors [6] Some of these socio-political factors may be some of the most important factors to account for the difficulties encountered in Britain and Ireland [17]. We hope that in so doing, we can start a debate on how this perfect storm can be investigated and addressed through innovative approaches and methodologies

Heterogeneity in bTB Diagnostic Approaches and Control Programmes
Differing Approaches to bTB Programs Across Europe
Wildlife Hosts Are a Significant Impediment to Eradication
Badgers Exhibit Significant TB Prevalence
Cattle and Husbandry
Climate and Environment
Emerging Environmental Hosts
Findings
Conclusions
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