Abstract

Aimed at the information loss problem of using discrete indicators in wind power output characteristics analysis, a self-organizing map neural network-based clustering method is proposed in this study. By identifying the appropriate representativeness and topological structure of the competition layer, cluster analysis of the wind power output process in four seasons is realized. The output characteristics are evaluated through multiple evaluation indicators. Taking the wind power output of the Hunan power grid as a case study, the results underscore that the 1 × 3-dimensional competition layer structure had the highest representativeness (72.9%), and the wind power output processes of each season were divided into three categories, with a robust and stable topology structure. Summer and winter were the most representative seasons. Summer had strong volatility and small wind power outputs, which required the utilization of other power sources to balance power supply and load demand. Winter featured low volatility and large wind power outputs, necessitating cooperation with peak-shaving power sources to enhance the power grid’s absorbability to wind power. The seasonal clustering analysis of wind power outputs will be helpful to analyze the seasonality of wind power outputs and can provide scientific and technical support for guiding the power grid’s operation and management.

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