Blood cytokines as potential predictors of the development of SARS-CoV-2 associated pneumonia in patients with stage II ESSENTIAL hypertension

Abstract

The search for predictors of the severe course of COVID-19 was relevant both during the pandemic and at the present time. The aim of the study was to analyze the relationship of cytokine levels in patients with EН before SARS-CoV-2 infection with the incidence of coronavirus pneumonia. Materials and methods. From the database of 290 patients with stage II EAG who have been under observation for 8–12 years with annual blood sampling to determine cytokine levels, COVID-19 survivors were selected (mild without pneumonia and moderate to severe, pneumonia CT 1–2, CT-3). Anamnestic levels of IL-1β, IL-1α, IL-1ra, IL-18, IL-18 BP, IL-37, IL-6, sIL-6r, M-CSF, VEGF-A, IL-34 and HMGB1) in the blood serum of patients with stage II EH were analyzed (method ELISA). The analysis of the obtained results was carried out using Stat Soft Statistica 13.5. Results and discussion. Patients with EH and COVID-19 with pneumonia (CT I-II) after SARS-CoV-2 infection 2–6 months before the infectious disease had significantly higher serum levels: IL-1α (p 0.05) and a decrease in IL-37 (p 0.001). During multivariate correlation analysis, a statistically independent relationship between an increase in the incidence of viral pneumonia in patients with stage II EН was confirmed only for IL-37 with a blood level of less than 60.2 pg/ml (regression coefficient — 2.21, standard error — 0.28, t criterion — 6.12, relative risk — 2.52, criterion Walda — 7.92, p = 0.006). When studying circadian rhythms of cytokine content in blood serum in patients of the analyzed groups, calculating the strength of correlations of anamnestic evening IL-37 levels in patients with stage II EР at 19.00–20.00 with the frequency of pneumonia against the background of SARS-CoV-2 infection, it has greater specificity and sensitivity (specificity — 0.75, sensitivity — 0.82) than morning concentrations. Considering that data on circadian rhythms were obtained in a limited number of patients, further monitoring is necessary, which is carried out by our scientific group. It should be noted that patients with essential hypertension are pathogenetically heterogeneous, including in terms of cytokine regulation. The study of this area will make it possible to personalize cytokine phenotypes of the disease and develop new methods for calculating the prognosis of both cardiovascular complications and features of the course of infectious diseases.