Abstract
Germany is an example of power, which is consistently trying to increase its role in global politics, including more active part in the solution of a wide range of military-political questions. At the same time Germany is facing the growing number of challenges for its own security, coming mostly from unstable Asian and African states. This makes Germany pay more attention on the Middle East in searching of new and strengthening traditional links with the regional partners. In this regard the article covers the dynamics, problems and perspectives of the bilateral interactions between Germany and Saudi Arabia in political-military sphere during the 2010s. Traditionally Saudi Arabia was one of the key partners of the ‘collective West’ in the Middle East and has had rather good relations with Germany. The key research method used in the article is the event-analysis. The research paper profoundly investigates the relations between Germany and Saudi Arabia during the first half of the 2010s. The article stresses the mutual interest in expanding and deepening cooperation in the context of the “Arab awakening”, including the solution of the Syrian problem. The key focus is paid to the growing discrepancies in positions of two parts regarding the Yemen conflict resolution in the context of confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran. The article also describes the dynamics of negotiations between Germany and Saudi Arabia on the highest and high levels in the middle 2010s. The paper points out the growing recession periods in German-Saudi relations in 2016-2017 (taken into account the execution of Shiite preachers in KSA; Qatar diplomatic crises and the assassination of J. Khashoggi). After the signature and implementation of the Iranian ‘nuclear deal’ Germany has been increasingly inclined towards the tactics of “balancing” between Iran and Saudi Arabia. And in this regard has emphasized the unacceptability of a direct military conflict between them. After Trump’s administration withdrawal from Iranian nuclear deal the article stresses the tougher German pressure on Saudi Arabia both in militarytechnical cooperation and political spheres in order to assure the withdrawal of Saudi Arabian military forces from Yemen. In the conclusion the author specifies the politicization of the bilateral military-technical cooperation and the sharp increase of the influence of Iranian factor over the German-Saudi relations. Three scenarios of future development of the confrontation between two states are proposed. Depending on each of them, the prospects for the development of German-Saudi relations are defined.
Highlights
The research paper profoundly investigates the relations between Germany and Saudi Arabia during the first half of the 2010s
The key focus is paid to the growing discrepancies in positions of two parts regarding the Yemen conflict resolution in the context of confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Iran
The article describes the dynamics of negotiations between Germany and Saudi Arabia on the highest and high levels in the middle 2010s
Summary
Bilateral Relations between Germany and Saudi Arabia: Military-Political Dimension. Institute of Scientific Information for Social Sciences of the Russian Academy of Sciences (INION RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation. Задача данной статьи — исследовать динамику, проблемы и перспективы отношений Германии и Саудовской Аравии в военно-политической области в 2010-е гг. Основное внимание уделяется растущим расхождениям сторон по урегулированию вооруженного конфликта в Йемене в контексте общего противостояния Королевства Саудовская Аравия (КСА) и Исламской Республики Иран (ИРИ). Показывается, что после заключения «ядерной сделки» между «шестеркой» посредников и Ираном (2015) Германия все более склонялась к тактике «балансирования» между официальным Тегераном и Саудовской Аравией, при этом подчеркивая неприемлемость прямого военного конфликта между ними. На фоне выхода США из «ядерной сделки» исследуется ужесточение давления ФРГ на КСА как в военно-технической, так и в общеполитической сферах с целью вывода группировки саудовских войск из Йемена. Делается вывод о политизации двустороннего военно-технического сотрудничества и резком увеличении значения фактора Ирана в германо-саудовских отношениях. Военно-политическое измерение отношений Германии и Саудовской Аравии на современном этапе // Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов.
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