Abstract

AbstractIntrusions of warm circumpolar deep water onto the Antarctic continental shelf are thought to drive accelerated loss of Antarctic glacial ice mass by triggering melt at the ice shelf grounding line. However, the mechanisms responsible for driving on‐shelf circumpolar deep water intrusions are not well understood. Here we examine how sea surface height (SSH) anomalies propagating around the Antarctic coastline as coastal‐trapped waves can drive warm water intrusions through changes in bottom Ekman transport. A wind perturbation motivated by the recent intensification and poleward shift of the southern annular mode during its positive phase is applied over Eastern Antarctica between 20°E and 120°E in two global ocean sea‐ice models (1/4° and 1/10°) and a single‐layer shallow water model. The changes in winds generate a drop in coastal SSH that propagates around Antarctica as a barotropic Kelvin wave. The SSH drop is accompanied by a barotropic flow, which alters the bottom stress, generating an onshore transport of warm water wherever thermal gradients are favorable. We estimate the resulting anomalous bottom Ekman flow and use temperature gradients calculated from the Southern Ocean State Estimate, along with the 1/4° and 1/10° models, to evaluate the resultant heat advection. We find that this mechanism can drive warming of up to 0.7 °C along the West Antarctic Peninsula within a year, depending on the mean state of the cross‐shelf temperature gradient and the barotropic flow strength. Over longer time scales, warming eventually ceases due to saturation of the SSH field and arrest of the Ekman transport by buoyancy forces.

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