Automated electrocardiographic quantification of myocardial scar in patients undergoing primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation: Association with mortality and subsequent appropriate and inappropriate therapies

Abstract

Myocardial scarring from infarction or nonischemic fibrosis forms an arrhythmogenic substrate. The Selvester QRS score has been developed to estimate myocardial scar from the 12-lead electrocardiogram. We aimed to assess the value of an automated version of the Selvester QRS score for the prediction of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy and death in patients undergoing primary prevention ICD implantation. Unselected patients undergoing primary prevention ICD implantation were included in this retrospective, observational, multicenter study. The QRS score was calculated automatically from a digital standard preimplantation 12-lead electrocardiogram and was correlated to the occurrence of death and appropriate and inappropriate shocks during follow-up. Analyses were performed in groups defined by QRS duration < 130 ms vs ≥ 130 ms. Overall, 1047 patients (872 [83%] men; median age 64 years IQR [55-71]) with ischemic (648, 62%) or nonischemic (399, 38%) cardiomyopathy were included. The median QRS duration was 123 ms (interquartile range [IQR] 111-157 ms), and the median QRS score was 5 (IQR 2-8). The QRS duration was <130 ms in 59% and ≥130 ms in 41%. During a median follow-up of 45 months (IQR 24-72 months), a QRS score of ≥5 was independently associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-2.66; P = .031) and appropriate (HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.07-3.14; P = .028) and inappropriate (HR 2.32; 95% CI 1.04-5.17; P= .039) shocks in patients with QRS duration ≥ 130 ms. No association of the QRS score and outcome was observed in patients with QRS duration < 130 ms (P > .05). The automatically calculated Selvester QRS score, an indicator of myocardial scar burden, predicts mortality and appropriate and inappropriate shocks in patients undergoing primary prevention ICD implantation with a prolonged QRS duration.