Atmospheric water demand dominates terrestrial ecosystem productivity in China

Abstract

Vegetation production is critical for carbon sequestration in terrestrial ecosystems. However, the relative contribution of soil moisture (SM) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) to vegetation production in ecosystems remains debated. This study combined SM and VPD data with satellite observations of solar-induced fluorescence (SIF) from 2003 to 2018 to examine the contribution of SM and VPD to long-term variations in vegetation production using binning approach. Constraint lines based on restricted cubic splines were established to investigate the threshold for the responses of vegetation production potential to VPD and SM. The results revealed that VPD had greater impacts on vegetation production in Chinese terrestrial ecosystems than SM, with VPD-dominated and SM-dominated areas accounting for approximately 84 % and 16 % of the total national area, respectively. The mean values of SIF changes under the independent influence of SM and VPD were 0.034 mWm−2nm−1sr−1 and 0.130 mWm−2nm−1sr−1, respectively, indicating higher sensitivity of SIF to VPD. The effects of SM and VPD on ecosystem production varied across aridity gradients, with VPD making a significant contribution to forest ecosystem production. However, determining the relative effects of SM and VPD in ecosystems with low vegetation cover was difficult. Further exploration revealed that the maximum potential for terrestrial ecosystem production increased with VPD, peaking at a VPD of about 1.275 ± 0.068 kPa. Beyond this range, the maximum production potential declined. Our study confirms that VPD has a stronger and more extensive influence on the trend and variability of ecosystem production in China than SM.