Abstract

BackgroundMost studies have reported that suicide mortality rates are negatively associated with lithium levels in tap water; however, a few studies showed either no association or a positive association. Thus, the association between suicide mortality and lithium levels in tap water remains controversial. To clarify the association, our study evaluated the association between lithium levels in tap water and suicide mortality rates in Miyazaki Prefecture of Japan, after adjusting for confounding factors.MethodsWe measured lithium levels in tap water across the 26 municipalities of Miyazaki Prefecture in Japan. We examined the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) for suicide in each municipality and used the data as the average suicide SMRs over 5 years (2009–2013). Weighted least-squares regression analysis, adjusted for the size of each municipality’s population, was used to investigate the association between lithium levels in tap water and suicide SMRs. In addition to a crude model, in an adjusted model, potential confounding factors (proportion of elderly people, proportion of one-person households, annual marriage rate, annual mean income, unemployment rate, the density of medical doctors per 100,000 people, annual total rainfall, and proportion of people with a college education or higher) were added as covariates.ResultsWe showed that male and female suicide SMRs were not associated with lithium levels in tap water in Miyazaki Prefecture. After adjusting for confounders, male suicide SMRs were significantly and positively associated with the proportion of elderly people in the population and annual total rainfall, and female suicide SMRs were associated with the proportion of elderly people in the population.ConclusionsNo association between lithium levels in tap water and suicide mortality rates was found in Miyazaki Prefecture.

Highlights

  • Most studies have reported that suicide mortality rates are negatively associated with lithium levels in tap water; a few studies showed either no association or a positive association

  • We evaluated the associations between standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and the lithium levels as adjusted by confounders (Tables 1 and 2)

  • Male and female suicide SMRs were not associated with lithium levels in tap water

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Summary

Introduction

Most studies have reported that suicide mortality rates are negatively associated with lithium levels in tap water; a few studies showed either no association or a positive association. The association between suicide mortality and lithium levels in tap water remains controversial. Our study evaluated the association between lithium levels in tap water and suicide mortality rates in Miyazaki Prefecture of Japan, after adjusting for confounding factors. The suicide mortality rates in Japan tend to be higher in northern areas of the country. The suicide mortality rates in Miyazaki Prefecture were 23.4 per 100,000 population in 2015, which was higher than the mean of that year for the whole of Japan of 18.5 per 100,000 population [7]. The detailed causes of this high suicide rates are not well understood

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