ASSESSMENT OF THE LEVEL OF THREATS AND CONSEQUENCES OF THEIR POSSIBLE IMPACT ON THE FUNCTIONING OF THE STATE ENERGY SECURITY SYSTEM

Abstract

Assessment of potential threats to the energy security of the state based on systematic approach allows management structures of all levels (state, administrative, regional, corporate) to realize the following: 1. to choose the right ways for the development of "statehood", taking into account the guarantee of the principles of energy security at all levels; 2. to take the necessary actions and decisions on the part of the authorities based on the positions of compliance with the principles of energy security; 3. to provide the best possible factors, phenomena and trends that can prevent possible obstacles that, by their nature, in one way or another will complicate the process of implementing state programs, observance of national interests of the state in relation to it; 4. to generate ideas for the implementation of various measures (based on the values of national security) aimed at neutralizing both potential threats and those already being implemented in relation to the national security system of the state. It should be remembered that assessing possible threats to the state's energy security system involves identifying possible threats and risks, analyzing threats and risks, and assessing existing threats and risks. In general, to ensure the principles of guaranteeing the proper level of efficiency and effectiveness of the policy aimed at ensuring the proper level of functioning of the energy security system, it is necessary, first of all, to carry out an organized and comprehensive assessment of the leading indicators of possible risks. These current and potential threats may hurt it. This is followed by identifying the main ways to neutralize the above risks and threats or the consequences caused by them. It is necessary to implement periodic analytical measures regarding the situation in the national energy security system (including its system-forming facilities) based on a systematic approach with the obligatory identification of several priority measures that should be implemented first in case of any critical situation. Implementation of the assessment of potential risks and threats to the energy security of the state will allow: to predict the possible situation of the state's energy security following different types, levels, and scenarios of possible adverse developments; to carry out a comparative analysis of potential risks and threats in different periods, both in the past and for predicting future ones; to implement a choice of possible scenarios, as well as the future strategy of the state to ensure compliance with the principles of proper functioning of the state's energy security; to ensure the development and implementation. Keywords: threats to the security system, consequences for the security system, energy security system, impact of threats to the security system, assessment of possible risks to the security system.