Abstract

Coral reef refugia are habitats which possess physical, biological and ecological characteristics that make them likely to be relatively resilient to future climate change. Identification of refugia locations will be important to ensure suitable marine conservation planning is undertaken to protect sites where coral ecosystems will be better preserved now and in the future. This paper presents (1) a review of current knowledge of the oceanographic conditions and coral community in the Revillagigedo Archipelago Large Scale Marine Protected Area, (2) the first assessment of the potential for the Revillagigedo Archipelago to act as a climate refugia site for corals and coral reefs in the eastern tropical Pacific, and (3) consequent management and learning opportunities, to inform reef conservation both locally and globally. Through utilising published literature, remote and in situ environmental data, and field observations it was found that the Revillagigedo area exhibits a combination of distinctive characteristics in the coral community and in oceanographic processes which support conditions of refugia. The potential for refugia is further enhanced due to the absence of significant secondary anthropogenic stressors. This leads to a recommendation to establish the Revillagigedo as a globally significant ‘sentinel site’ where, through long-term monitoring of oceanographic conditions and of the coral and associated ecosystems, the effects of climate change can be quantified, and the effectiveness of specific refugia attributes established. This information may then be used to underpin the recognition of potential coral refugia elsewhere, and to guide MPA designation and management decisions to enhance their effectiveness.

Highlights

  • Coral reefs are among the most biodiverse ecosystems on Earth and have substantial global economic importance [1,2], yet it is widely recognised they are one of the ecosystems most vulnerable to climate change [3]

  • Given the severity of coral bleaching and mortality caused by ocean warming, it is important our current knowledge of climate refugia is utilised to identify refugia locations

  • A coral population with high connectivity which could support the expansion of persistent coral species over centennial to millennial time-frames; and Limited impact of direct anthropogenic stressors

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Summary

Introduction

Coral reefs are among the most biodiverse ecosystems on Earth and have substantial global economic importance [1,2], yet it is widely recognised they are one of the ecosystems most vulnerable to climate change [3]. The extent to which corals are impacted by climate change will not be uniform, and some areas are expected to be less vulnerable than others [4]

Concept of coral climate refugia
Study overview
Literature review
Sources of existing data
In situ temperature logger data and analysis
Research setting
Regional oceanographic conditions
Localised oceanographic conditions
Recent and predicted future changes in oceanographic conditions
Coral community and biogeography
Coral bleaching
Is the Revillagigedo Archipelago a potential coral refugia?
Regional oceanographic conditions relevant to refugia
Influence of local oceanographic conditions on potential refugia status
Reduction or absence of secondary stressors
Management and learning opportunities
Conclusion
Findings
Declaration of competing interest
Full Text
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