Assessing network-based earthquake early warning systems in low-seismicity areas

Abstract

Earthquake early warning (EEW) technology, designed to alert the public of earthquake risks after initial P-wave detection but before the onset of strong tremors, has developed rapidly. Methodologies from various fields are combined in EEW systems to estimate earthquake locations, magnitudes, and expected intensities based on the initial P-wave data. These systems operate automatically because prompt responses are required. However, as no common evaluation framework for EEW system verification exists, potentially divergent evaluations from reviewers or countries could ensue. Moreover, evaluating EEW systems is more complicated when the target area does not experience frequent earthquakes. We aimed to establish a guidance review process for low-seismicity areas to ensure reliable and stable integrated EEW system operation. We incorporated management aspects through actual system operator surveillance and designed an EEW assessment process based on feedback from our surveys. Using this approach, we created a comprehensive and well-informed evaluation process that considers the diverse perspectives of experts involved in EEWs. Our proposed assessment method allows for a uniform and consistent evaluation process, regardless of changes in the methods or technologies used by EEW systems. The method aims to guide EEW system assessments in low-seismicity areas.