Abstract

The UK is predicted to experience warmer summers in the future, but the domestic building stock in England was not designed to cope with this change. The Standard Assessment Procedure (SAP) 2009 is used to assess the current state of the English building stock in terms of its vulnerability to overheating. The English Housing Survey 2009 provided data for 16 150 dwellings which are weighted to represent the housing stock. SAP predicts 82% of dwellings are currently at ‘slight’ risk of overheating and 41% at medium to high risk. If summer temperatures become 1.4°C warmer, then 99% of properties are predicted to have a medium to high risk of overheating. Several potential adaptations to the housing stock were considered to reduce overheating. Although ventilation strategies had the largest positive effect, the use of solar shading and shutters which allow secure ventilation could reduce vulnerability to overheating in the current climate. In a warmer climate, although some dwellings would still be at slight risk, the results suggest that solar shading strategies could reduce the percentage of those at medium to high risk to 6%. Future energy efficiency programmes will need to include adaptation measures to prevent overheating.

Highlights

  • The threat of climate change induced by human the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) is recognized at a global level

  • The following histograms show the proportion of the housing stock that would be at risk of ‘slight’ overheating using the SAP 2009 current climate and for a future climate with a 1.48C average summer temperature increase, as per the UKCIP future climate predictions for the UK (DEFRA, 2010)

  • Given the evident need for adaptation measures, if the housing stock is to become more resilient to a warming

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Summary

Introduction

The threat of climate change induced by human the emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) is recognized at a global level. Even the most optimistic predictions suggest at least a 1.88C rise in temperature by the end of the 21st century (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2007). In the UK, climate predictions have been made by the United Kingdom. The moral rights of the named author(s) have been asserted

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