Assessing Coastal Vulnerability to Storms: A Case Study on the Coast of Thrace, Greece

Abstract

Climate change is expected to increase the risks of coastal hazards (erosion and inundation). To effectively cope with these emerging problems, littoral countries are advised to assess their coastal vulnerabilities. In this study, coastal vulnerability is first assessed by considering two basic storm-induced phenomena, i.e., erosion and inundation. First, the erosion is computed using the numerical model for Storm-induced BEAch CHange (SBEACH), whereas the inundation is estimated using two different empirical equations for comparison. Then, the integration of the vulnerabilities of both storm-induced impacts associated with the same return period permits the identification of the most hazardous regions. The methodology is applied to the coast of Thrace (Greece). The majority of the coastline is not vulnerable to erosion, except for some steep and narrow beaches and the coast along the city of Alexandroupolis. Beaches with very low heights are highly vulnerable to inundation. Half of the studied coastline is considered highly or very highly vulnerable, whereas the other half is relatively safe. The above results will help decision-makers choose how to invest their resources for preventing damage.