Abstract

Climate change and associated factors such as global and regional sea-level rise; the upsurge in high-intensity flooding events; and coastal erosion are pulse and press disturbances that threaten to increase landslides in coastal regions. Under these circumstances; a rigorous framework is required to evaluate coastal vulnerability in order to plan for future climate change scenarios. A vast majority of coastal vulnerability assessments across the globe are evaluated at the macro level (city scale) but not at the micro level (small town scale); particularly in the United Kingdom (UK). In order to fill this vital research gap; the current study established a coastal vulnerability index termed here as the Micro Town Coastal Vulnerability Index (MTCVI) and then applied it to Barton-on-Sea; which is a small coastal town of the Hampshire region; England; UK. MTCVI was evaluated for Barton-on-Sea coastal vulnerability by integrating both novel and existing parameters. Results suggest that the entire shoreline frontage (2 km) exhibits very high coastal vulnerability and is prone to various coastal hazards such as landslides; erosion; and wave intrusion. This suggests that Barton-on-Sea coastal amenities will require a substantial improvement in shoreline protection measures. In this study; GIS (geographic information system) coastal vulnerability and landslide maps were generated; and these maps can be used by the local authorities; district councils; coastal engineers; and planners to improve and design coastal management strategies under the climate change scenarios. Meanwhile; the methodology used in this study could also be applied to any other suitable location in the world depending on the availability of the data.

Highlights

  • Several coastal regions around the world are vulnerable to diverse natural hazards such as floods, landslides, storm surges, and erosion [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10] due to climatic variations [11,12]

  • Water 2017, 9, 905 these trends are in line with the results reported by Antunes and Taborda [19] and the United Kingdom (UK) climate projections reported by Murphyet al. [20]

  • Analysis confirmed that the coastal landslides impact is very high along the coastline of Barton-on-Sea

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Summary

Introduction

Several coastal regions around the world are vulnerable to diverse natural hazards such as floods, landslides, storm surges, and erosion [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10] due to climatic variations [11,12]. Of the global population over the 50 years will reside in coastal flood risk zones [13,14,15]. The frequency and intensity of storms are predicted to increase with the potential to cause significant damage to coastal infrastructure and potential economic loss [21,22,23,24,25]. Damage costs due to coastal land loss and involuntary migration will be significant, as nearly 150 million people living at locations within 1 m of high tides will have to move [26]

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