Abstract

Predictive modeling is becoming increasingly popular in the context of early disease detection. The use of machine learning approaches for predictive modeling can help early detection of diseases thereby enabling medical experts to appropriate medical treatments. Stillbirth prediction is a similar domain where artificial intelligence-based predictive modeling can alleviate this significant global health challenge. Despite advancements in prenatal care, the prevention of stillbirths remains a complex issue requiring further research and interventions. The cardiotocography (CTG) dataset is used in this research work from the UCI machine learning (ML) repository to investigate the efficiency of the proposed approach regarding stillbirth prediction. This research work adopts the Tabular Prior Data Fitted Network (TabPFN) model which was originally designed to solve small tabular classification. TabPFN is used to predict the still or live birth during pregnancy with 97.91% accuracy. To address this life-saving problem with more accurate results and in-depth analysis of ML models, this research work makes use of 13 renowned ML models for performance comparison with the proposed model. The proposed model is evaluated using precision, recall, F-score, Mathews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), and the area under the curve evaluation parameters and the results are 97.87%, 98.26%, 98.05%, 96.42%, and 98.88%, respectively. The results of the proposed model are further evaluated using k-fold cross-validation and its performance comparison with other state-of-the-art studies indicating the superior performance of TabPFN model.

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